Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000127 0.000140 0.000154 0.000171 0.000189 0.000209 0.000232
2025-06-29 0.000099 0.000117 0.000139 0.000165 0.000198 0.000236 0.000285
2025-07-06 0.000081 0.000101 0.000125 0.000158 0.000200 0.000254 0.000327
2025-07-13 0.000071 0.000093 0.000120 0.000158 0.000211 0.000281 0.000383
2025-07-20 0.000065 0.000087 0.000117 0.000161 0.000223 0.000310 0.000445
2025-07-27 0.000058 0.000081 0.000112 0.000160 0.000230 0.000333 0.000498
2025-08-03 0.000054 0.000078 0.000111 0.000162 0.000241 0.000363 0.000567
2025-08-10 0.000050 0.000073 0.000106 0.000160 0.000246 0.000381 0.000619
2025-08-17 0.000046 0.000068 0.000102 0.000158 0.000251 0.000401 0.000676
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000064 0.000098 0.000155 0.000252 0.000416 0.000725
2025-08-31 0.000038 0.000060 0.000093 0.000150 0.000251 0.000425 0.000764
2025-09-07 0.000036 0.000057 0.000091 0.000151 0.000258 0.000449 0.000835
2025-09-14 0.000034 0.000056 0.000090 0.000153 0.000269 0.000483 0.000932
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000052 0.000086 0.000150 0.000270 0.000499 0.000997
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000048 0.000081 0.000143 0.000264 0.000502 0.001034
2025-10-05 0.000027 0.000046 0.000080 0.000144 0.000272 0.000531 0.001134
2025-10-12 0.000026 0.000045 0.000079 0.000146 0.000283 0.000569 0.001259
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000043 0.000077 0.000145 0.000288 0.000593 0.001357
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000042 0.000076 0.000147 0.000299 0.000634 0.001502
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000145 0.000301 0.000655 0.001599
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000039 0.000072 0.000144 0.000305 0.000679 0.001709
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000037 0.000070 0.000141 0.000305 0.000694 0.001800
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000137 0.000301 0.000699 0.001862